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FACTBOX-Forecasts for 2007 Atlantic hurricane season

02 Oct 2007 14:22:17 GMT
Source: Reuters

Oct 2 (Reuters) - A noted hurricane forecasting team at Colorado State University on Tuesday increased its estimate of the number of tropical storms in the 2007 Atlantic hurricane season to 17 from 15. It also estimated there would be a total of seven hurricanes.

The following are the latest predictions for 2007: --------------------------------------------------------------

Tropical Storms Hurricanes Major Hurricanes -------------------------------------------------------------- NOAA 13-16 (prev 13-17) 7-9 (prev 7-10) 3-5 (unchanged) CSU 17 (prev 15) 7 (unchanged*) 3 (prev 4) TSR 14.7 (unchanged) 7.8 (prev 7.9) 3.5 (unchanged) WSI 14 (unchanged) 6 (unchanged) 4 (prev 3) WRC 7 4 2 UK Met 10 - - --------------------------------------------------------------

NOAA forecast revised Aug. 9.

CSU (Colorado State University team led by William Gray) forecast revised Oct. 2.

*Hurricane total includes an expectation that Tropical Storm Karen will be upgraded in a post-season analysis. End of season analysis due Nov. 27

TSR (London-based Tropical Storm Risk) forecast revised Aug. 6.

WSI Corp. forecast revised Sept. 26.

WRC (Houston-based Weather Research Center) issues just one seasonal outlook based on solar cycles.

The UK Met Office, a newcomer to the field of hurricane season forecasting, on June 19 predicted 10 storms between July and November 2007. It did not predict intensities.

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Last updated:Tue Oct 2 14:22:58 2007