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FACTBOX-Potential US responses to Israel's Gaza attacks
28 Dec 2008 20:14:45 GMT
Source: Reuters
WASHINGTON, Dec 28 (Reuters) - Israel's attacks on Gaza three weeks before Barack Obama becomes U.S. president pose an unexpected challenge for a man who has promised to work for Middle East peace from his first day in office.

Questions have emerged over the timing of the attacks during a period of transition in the United States and over how Obama might respond as president and Hillary Clinton as his secretary of state.

Such questions often arise because Washington traditionally plays the role of broker in any Middle East peace moves.

HOW HAS THE UNITED STATES RESPONDED?

The Bush administration, due to hand over to Obama on Jan. 20, put the onus on Hamas, the Islamists in charge of Gaza, to prevent more violence. It did not demand an end to Israeli attacks but urged all concerned to protect innocent lives.

WHAT DID THE UNITED NATIONS SAY?

The strikes against Hamas have killed hundreds of Palestinians, prompting a U.N. Security Council call for a ceasefire. But an Israeli official said Israel was feeling little international pressure to halt its attacks.

WHAT HAS OBAMA SAID?

Obama's team has avoided policy statements while Bush is in power. Adviser David Axelrod said on CBS's "Face the Nation" on Sunday: "There's only one president who can speak for America at a time. And that president now is George Bush."

Bush's secretary of state, Condoleezza Rice, spoke to Obama by phone. "They have a good working relationship," Axelrod told the news program. "The calls are largely in the area of fact-finding for him."

WHAT MIGHT OBAMA DO?

In the CBS interview, Axelrod recalled that when then-candidate Obama was in the southern Israeli town of Sderot in July, he voiced understanding for Israel's urge to try to put an end to attacks on Sderot from Gaza.

On the broader issue of Middle East peace, Obama promised to engage in Israeli-Palestinian peacemaking from the start but has yet to propose a policy shift that might rescue a two-state solution from oblivion.

"My goal is to make sure that we work, starting from the minute I'm sworn into office, to try to find some breakthroughs," Obama said in July. But he added it was unrealistic to expect him to "suddenly snap his fingers and bring about peace."

WHAT ELSE FACTORS INTO PEACE MOVES?

Israel's expansion of Jewish settlements in the West Bank, along with a thickening network of settler roads, checkpoints and barriers, have complicated prospects for a two-state solution.

So have Palestinian divisions. Hamas Islamists seized the Gaza Strip in June 2007, leaving Palestinian Prime Minister Mahmoud Abbas's Fatah faction in charge of the West Bank. Both would have to work with Israel for a comprehensive peace.

Like Bush, Israel's leader Ehud Olmert is a lame duck. In October, Olmert proposed Israel withdraw from nearly all of the West Bank in return for peace with Palestinians. Israel holds a general election on Feb. 10 that will chart peace moves.

WHAT IS HILLARY CLINTON'S VIEW?

Clinton, a New York senator, is viewed as a favorite of the pro-Israel lobby in the United States. But once having stopped representing New York to become Obama's secretary of state, she could push for Arab-Israeli compromise.

Her husband, former President Bill Clinton, worked up to the final hours of his presidency on an unsuccessful bid to forge a permanent Israeli-Palestinian peace.

"U.S. diplomacy is critical in helping to resolve this conflict," she wrote in an article in Foreign Affairs magazine in November-December 2007.

WHAT WAS BEHIND THE TIMING OF THE ISRAELI ATTACKS?

Senior Israeli officials insist the timing had to do with Israel's coming election rather than any perceived lost opportunity with Bush leaving office.

"Why should everything be connected to the United States? A far more important date for Israel is Feb. 10. There are elections in Israel," said one of the officials. "It wasn't politically sustainable for leaders in Israel to idly stand by and let Hamas continue shooting."

Another Israeli official said Israel could count on the Bush administration to help buy the military more time if the Gaza operation dragged on and international pressure grew for a ceasefire. (Writing by Howard Goller; Additional reporting by Adam Entous in Jerusalem; Editing by John O'Callaghan)


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Independent deputy Khalil Atiyah (2nd L) holds a burning Israeli flag beside Jaafar Al-Abddallat (R) in the Jordanian Parliament in Amman December 28, 2008. Jordanian deputies burnt an Israeli flag during ...



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